Tuesday 26 June 2012

Dean Bubley: Reverse-engineering Ericsson's mobile data numbers

Reverse-engineering Ericsson's mobile data numbers: "If I assume that growth in traffic for 2011-2012 falls to 80% from 99% the previous year, and taking their 15x growth from 2011-2017, brings down the global 5-year CAGR figure from 2012-2017 to 53%
- This compares with Cisco's 2011-2016 Mobile VNI forecasts [5 year] of 18x traffic growth
- In general, Cisco's forecasts are considerably more aggressive than Ericssons. The difference (hat-tip to Tim Farrar here) is mostly in the assumptions on average smartphone data use towards the end of the period
-  Then, reconstructing the regional breakdowns from the piecharts & reformulating the CAGRs, I reckon we have my best estimates as:
"Western Europe Mobile Data Traffic CAGR 2012-2017 = 45%
North America Mobile Data Traffic CAGR 2012-2017 = 42%
Other global regions are 56-62% CAGR"'via Blog this'

Search engines' plans to help combat piracy seek extra safeguards that existing EU law does not provide, expert says

Search engines' plans to help combat piracy seek extra safeguards that existing EU law does not provide, expert says: "Google, Yahoo! and Microsoft have drawn up a series of "principles" to guide how rights holders should act when issuing them with requests for the removal of infringing content from search indexes as well as the responsibilities search engines themselves should be required to conform to. The plans were published (4-page / 43KB PDF) by digital rights campaign group the Open Rights Group (ORG) who obtained details of the proposals via a freedom of information (FOI) request to the Government."
'via Blog this'